Reliable HGH testing may be possible

The news of the week is that there looks like there is, at least, a reliable test for HGH use. I wrote in the book:

Many players who used steroids have moved to hGH. While it doesn’t help building the massive muscle bulk that anabolic steroids do, it has many of the beneficial effects players, especially older ones, generally look to steroids for. It’s not that hard to get, though it can be quite expensive. Most importantly, while hGH is banned, there’s no proven test for it right now. If a test can be proven reliable, the players will almost certainly have to sign up for blood draws, which would have to go through the collective bargaining process, and while players as a whole were willing to concede to urine tests in order to help their sport, getting them to take regular blood tests could be another matter entirely.

Can I just say thanks for coming out with this news while the book’s at the printer? Great timing.

This test is a blood test, as everyone suspected would be the case, so there’s that barrier, but the short time window is an even larger problem. Players aren’t going to agree to a blood draw every three days.

The good news, from a detection standpoint, is that random tests in-season should still catch users. A normal dosage schedule of HGH for people taking it for general anti-aging purposes is an injected dose 4-5 times a week. We can figure that’s the minimum an athlete using the stuff is taking. The chance they’ll be on a course of HGH and dodge a test is pretty slim.

If baseball implements any kind of testing, the effect will be huge. As you probably know, in the Grimsley Incident, we heard that athletes who previously used steroids moved to HGH to get many of the same benefits (and without some of the more horrible side effects). If HGH is on the same punishment schedule, with a 30-day suspension for first detection, it’s unlikely players will take that chance, and we’ll see a mass abandonment of HGH. Considering that HGH was there waiting, undetectable, with open arms for players who were on steroids before, there’s a quite real chance that we’ll see the kind of performance crash that people thought would happen in the first year of penalty-phase testing for anabolic steroids.

But if we get random testing, and players abandon, what happens then? I’ll write more about the future of the arms race, but we know they’re not all going to stop using performance-enhancing drugs if they’re forced to give up any one.